{
  "schemaVersion": "sonto-evals-case-v1",
  "publicationSlug": "frontier-financial-judgement",
  "releaseSlug": "v1",
  "benchmarkId": "benchmark_v1_final_realistic",
  "case": {
    "caseId": "ifx-20260717T1546Z-bundle-01-1cb414ed060f",
    "caseNumber": 70,
    "company": "Company C",
    "title": "Margin guidance becomes a ceiling",
    "eventSummary": "In this synthetic case, changing an approximate margin target to an up-to formulation weakens the annual profitability outlook.",
    "goldRationale": "Company C’s previous annual Segment Result Margin outlook was approximately 20%, which communicates a target centred on 20% and permits modest outcomes above or below it. The new wording is up to 20%, making 20% a ceiling while leaving lower outcomes possible. Revenue, gross margin, cash flow, investment, depreciation, and demand commentary are otherwise unchanged, so they do not offset the altered range. The change is new, negative, and highly important because it directly weakens the central annual operating-profitability outlook. Medium importance is also acceptable because management has not provided a new midpoint or quantified the basis-point reduction.",
    "targetPosition": 2,
    "gold": {
      "informationNew": true,
      "expectedImportance": "high",
      "direction": "negative",
      "acceptedImportance": [
        "high",
        "medium"
      ],
      "acceptedDirections": [
        "negative"
      ]
    },
    "liveArticles": [
      {
        "itemId": "item_01",
        "position": 1,
        "title": "Infineon falls amid a broad semiconductor selloff"
      },
      {
        "itemId": "item_03",
        "position": 3,
        "title": "An Indian group prepares domestic semiconductor wafer production"
      },
      {
        "itemId": "item_04",
        "position": 4,
        "title": "An industrial group acquires a power-electronics specialist"
      },
      {
        "itemId": "item_05",
        "position": 5,
        "title": "Infineon launches a hardened power driver for spacecraft"
      },
      {
        "itemId": "item_06",
        "position": 6,
        "title": "Infineon shares gap lower in over-the-counter trading"
      }
    ],
    "historicalDocuments": [
      {
        "itemId": "item_07",
        "position": 7,
        "title": "Infineon third-quarter investor update"
      },
      {
        "itemId": "item_08",
        "position": 8,
        "title": "Infineon management-board current report"
      }
    ]
  },
  "results": [
    {
      "modelId": "codex_gpt55_medium_native_web",
      "status": "valid",
      "targetPrediction": {
        "informationNew": false,
        "expectedImportance": "none",
        "direction": "neutral"
      },
      "informationNewCorrect": false,
      "importanceCorrect": false,
      "directionCorrect": false,
      "targetCorrectCount": 0,
      "allLabelsCorrect": false,
      "usage": {
        "costUsdMicros": 909920,
        "inputTokens": 444952,
        "outputTokens": 7532,
        "totalTokens": 452484,
        "searches": 13
      },
      "contextPredictions": [
        {
          "itemId": "item_01",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_03",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_04",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_05",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_06",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_07",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_08",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        }
      ],
      "estimatedContextFalsePositives": {
        "combined": {
          "numerator": 0,
          "denominator": 7
        },
        "liveArticles": {
          "numerator": 0,
          "denominator": 5
        },
        "historicalDocuments": {
          "numerator": 0,
          "denominator": 2
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "modelId": "codex_gpt56_sol_medium_native_web",
      "status": "valid",
      "targetPrediction": {
        "informationNew": false,
        "expectedImportance": "none",
        "direction": "neutral"
      },
      "informationNewCorrect": false,
      "importanceCorrect": false,
      "directionCorrect": false,
      "targetCorrectCount": 0,
      "allLabelsCorrect": false,
      "usage": {
        "costUsdMicros": 936766,
        "inputTokens": 742106,
        "outputTokens": 7458,
        "totalTokens": 749564,
        "searches": 4
      },
      "contextPredictions": [
        {
          "itemId": "item_01",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_03",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_04",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_05",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_06",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_07",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_08",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        }
      ],
      "estimatedContextFalsePositives": {
        "combined": {
          "numerator": 0,
          "denominator": 7
        },
        "liveArticles": {
          "numerator": 0,
          "denominator": 5
        },
        "historicalDocuments": {
          "numerator": 0,
          "denominator": 2
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "modelId": "codex_gpt56_terra_medium_native_web",
      "status": "valid",
      "targetPrediction": {
        "informationNew": false,
        "expectedImportance": "none",
        "direction": "neutral"
      },
      "informationNewCorrect": false,
      "importanceCorrect": false,
      "directionCorrect": false,
      "targetCorrectCount": 0,
      "allLabelsCorrect": false,
      "usage": {
        "costUsdMicros": 367962,
        "inputTokens": 553206,
        "outputTokens": 5597,
        "totalTokens": 558803,
        "searches": 12
      },
      "contextPredictions": [
        {
          "itemId": "item_01",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_03",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_04",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_05",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_06",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_07",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_08",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        }
      ],
      "estimatedContextFalsePositives": {
        "combined": {
          "numerator": 0,
          "denominator": 7
        },
        "liveArticles": {
          "numerator": 0,
          "denominator": 5
        },
        "historicalDocuments": {
          "numerator": 0,
          "denominator": 2
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "modelId": "codex_gpt56_luna_medium_native_web",
      "status": "valid",
      "targetPrediction": {
        "informationNew": false,
        "expectedImportance": "none",
        "direction": "neutral"
      },
      "informationNewCorrect": false,
      "importanceCorrect": false,
      "directionCorrect": false,
      "targetCorrectCount": 0,
      "allLabelsCorrect": false,
      "usage": {
        "costUsdMicros": 117983,
        "inputTokens": 377832,
        "outputTokens": 5767,
        "totalTokens": 383599,
        "searches": 2
      },
      "contextPredictions": [
        {
          "itemId": "item_01",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_03",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_04",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": true,
          "expectedImportance": "low",
          "direction": "unclear",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": true
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_05",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": true,
          "expectedImportance": "low",
          "direction": "positive",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": true
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_06",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_07",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_08",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        }
      ],
      "estimatedContextFalsePositives": {
        "combined": {
          "numerator": 2,
          "denominator": 7
        },
        "liveArticles": {
          "numerator": 2,
          "denominator": 5
        },
        "historicalDocuments": {
          "numerator": 0,
          "denominator": 2
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "modelId": "claude_opus48_medium_native_web",
      "status": "valid",
      "targetPrediction": {
        "informationNew": false,
        "expectedImportance": "none",
        "direction": "neutral"
      },
      "informationNewCorrect": false,
      "importanceCorrect": false,
      "directionCorrect": false,
      "targetCorrectCount": 0,
      "allLabelsCorrect": false,
      "usage": {
        "costUsdMicros": 2372716,
        "inputTokens": 562747,
        "outputTokens": 10179,
        "totalTokens": 572926,
        "searches": 4
      },
      "contextPredictions": [
        {
          "itemId": "item_01",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_03",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_04",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": true,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_05",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": true,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_06",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_07",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_08",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        }
      ],
      "estimatedContextFalsePositives": {
        "combined": {
          "numerator": 0,
          "denominator": 7
        },
        "liveArticles": {
          "numerator": 0,
          "denominator": 5
        },
        "historicalDocuments": {
          "numerator": 0,
          "denominator": 2
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "modelId": "claude_sonnet46_medium_native_web",
      "status": "valid",
      "targetPrediction": {
        "informationNew": true,
        "expectedImportance": "medium",
        "direction": "positive"
      },
      "informationNewCorrect": true,
      "importanceCorrect": true,
      "directionCorrect": false,
      "targetCorrectCount": 2,
      "allLabelsCorrect": false,
      "usage": {
        "costUsdMicros": 1293748,
        "inputTokens": 668584,
        "outputTokens": 10467,
        "totalTokens": 679051,
        "searches": 5
      },
      "contextPredictions": [
        {
          "itemId": "item_01",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_03",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_04",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": true,
          "expectedImportance": "low",
          "direction": "positive",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": true
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_05",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": true,
          "expectedImportance": "low",
          "direction": "positive",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": true
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_06",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_07",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_08",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        }
      ],
      "estimatedContextFalsePositives": {
        "combined": {
          "numerator": 2,
          "denominator": 7
        },
        "liveArticles": {
          "numerator": 2,
          "denominator": 5
        },
        "historicalDocuments": {
          "numerator": 0,
          "denominator": 2
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "modelId": "codex_gpt54_medium_native_web",
      "status": "valid",
      "targetPrediction": {
        "informationNew": false,
        "expectedImportance": "none",
        "direction": "neutral"
      },
      "informationNewCorrect": false,
      "importanceCorrect": false,
      "directionCorrect": false,
      "targetCorrectCount": 0,
      "allLabelsCorrect": false,
      "usage": {
        "costUsdMicros": 535791,
        "inputTokens": 442560,
        "outputTokens": 10785,
        "totalTokens": 453345,
        "searches": 32
      },
      "contextPredictions": [
        {
          "itemId": "item_01",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_03",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_04",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_05",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_06",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_07",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_08",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        }
      ],
      "estimatedContextFalsePositives": {
        "combined": {
          "numerator": 0,
          "denominator": 7
        },
        "liveArticles": {
          "numerator": 0,
          "denominator": 5
        },
        "historicalDocuments": {
          "numerator": 0,
          "denominator": 2
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "modelId": "codex_gpt54_mini_medium_native_web",
      "status": "valid",
      "targetPrediction": {
        "informationNew": false,
        "expectedImportance": "none",
        "direction": "neutral"
      },
      "informationNewCorrect": false,
      "importanceCorrect": false,
      "directionCorrect": false,
      "targetCorrectCount": 0,
      "allLabelsCorrect": false,
      "usage": {
        "costUsdMicros": 159192,
        "inputTokens": 332708,
        "outputTokens": 12891,
        "totalTokens": 345599,
        "searches": 20
      },
      "contextPredictions": [
        {
          "itemId": "item_01",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_03",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_04",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_05",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": true,
          "expectedImportance": "low",
          "direction": "positive",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": true
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_06",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_07",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_08",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        }
      ],
      "estimatedContextFalsePositives": {
        "combined": {
          "numerator": 1,
          "denominator": 7
        },
        "liveArticles": {
          "numerator": 1,
          "denominator": 5
        },
        "historicalDocuments": {
          "numerator": 0,
          "denominator": 2
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "modelId": "deepseek_v4_flash_opencode_openrouter_exa",
      "status": "valid",
      "targetPrediction": {
        "informationNew": false,
        "expectedImportance": "none",
        "direction": "neutral"
      },
      "informationNewCorrect": false,
      "importanceCorrect": false,
      "directionCorrect": false,
      "targetCorrectCount": 0,
      "allLabelsCorrect": false,
      "usage": {
        "costUsdMicros": 13415,
        "inputTokens": 660411,
        "outputTokens": 6450,
        "totalTokens": 666861,
        "searches": 7
      },
      "contextPredictions": [
        {
          "itemId": "item_01",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": true,
          "expectedImportance": "medium",
          "direction": "positive",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": true
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_03",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": true,
          "expectedImportance": "low",
          "direction": "negative",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": true
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_04",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": true,
          "expectedImportance": "low",
          "direction": "unclear",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": true
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_05",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": true,
          "expectedImportance": "low",
          "direction": "positive",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": true
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_06",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_07",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_08",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        }
      ],
      "estimatedContextFalsePositives": {
        "combined": {
          "numerator": 4,
          "denominator": 7
        },
        "liveArticles": {
          "numerator": 4,
          "denominator": 5
        },
        "historicalDocuments": {
          "numerator": 0,
          "denominator": 2
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "modelId": "deepseek_v4_pro_high_opencode_openrouter_exa",
      "status": "valid",
      "targetPrediction": {
        "informationNew": false,
        "expectedImportance": "none",
        "direction": "neutral"
      },
      "informationNewCorrect": false,
      "importanceCorrect": false,
      "directionCorrect": false,
      "targetCorrectCount": 0,
      "allLabelsCorrect": false,
      "usage": {
        "costUsdMicros": 41705,
        "inputTokens": 630789,
        "outputTokens": 6509,
        "totalTokens": 637298,
        "searches": 7
      },
      "contextPredictions": [
        {
          "itemId": "item_01",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_03",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_04",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_05",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_06",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_07",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_08",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        }
      ],
      "estimatedContextFalsePositives": {
        "combined": {
          "numerator": 0,
          "denominator": 7
        },
        "liveArticles": {
          "numerator": 0,
          "denominator": 5
        },
        "historicalDocuments": {
          "numerator": 0,
          "denominator": 2
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "modelId": "mimo_v25_medium_equiv_opencode_openrouter_exa",
      "status": "valid",
      "targetPrediction": {
        "informationNew": false,
        "expectedImportance": "none",
        "direction": "neutral"
      },
      "informationNewCorrect": false,
      "importanceCorrect": false,
      "directionCorrect": false,
      "targetCorrectCount": 0,
      "allLabelsCorrect": false,
      "usage": {
        "costUsdMicros": 12762,
        "inputTokens": 935319,
        "outputTokens": 6070,
        "totalTokens": 941389,
        "searches": 15
      },
      "contextPredictions": [
        {
          "itemId": "item_01",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_03",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_04",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": true,
          "expectedImportance": "medium",
          "direction": "unclear",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": true
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_05",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": true,
          "expectedImportance": "low",
          "direction": "positive",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": true
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_06",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_07",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_08",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        }
      ],
      "estimatedContextFalsePositives": {
        "combined": {
          "numerator": 2,
          "denominator": 7
        },
        "liveArticles": {
          "numerator": 2,
          "denominator": 5
        },
        "historicalDocuments": {
          "numerator": 0,
          "denominator": 2
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "modelId": "qwen37_plus_medium_equiv_opencode_openrouter_exa",
      "status": "valid",
      "targetPrediction": {
        "informationNew": false,
        "expectedImportance": "none",
        "direction": "neutral"
      },
      "informationNewCorrect": false,
      "importanceCorrect": false,
      "directionCorrect": false,
      "targetCorrectCount": 0,
      "allLabelsCorrect": false,
      "usage": {
        "costUsdMicros": 55294,
        "inputTokens": 320661,
        "outputTokens": 5146,
        "totalTokens": 325807,
        "searches": 6
      },
      "contextPredictions": [
        {
          "itemId": "item_01",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": true,
          "expectedImportance": "low",
          "direction": "positive",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": true
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_03",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_04",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_05",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": true,
          "expectedImportance": "low",
          "direction": "positive",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": true
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_06",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_07",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_08",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        }
      ],
      "estimatedContextFalsePositives": {
        "combined": {
          "numerator": 2,
          "denominator": 7
        },
        "liveArticles": {
          "numerator": 2,
          "denominator": 5
        },
        "historicalDocuments": {
          "numerator": 0,
          "denominator": 2
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "modelId": "qwen36_35b_a3b_medium_equiv_opencode_openrouter_exa_authenticated_v2",
      "status": "valid",
      "targetPrediction": {
        "informationNew": false,
        "expectedImportance": "low",
        "direction": "positive"
      },
      "informationNewCorrect": false,
      "importanceCorrect": false,
      "directionCorrect": false,
      "targetCorrectCount": 0,
      "allLabelsCorrect": false,
      "usage": {
        "costUsdMicros": 36871,
        "inputTokens": 368409,
        "outputTokens": 6838,
        "totalTokens": 375247,
        "searches": 8
      },
      "contextPredictions": [
        {
          "itemId": "item_01",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "low",
          "direction": "negative",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_03",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_04",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": true,
          "expectedImportance": "low",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": true
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_05",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": true,
          "expectedImportance": "low",
          "direction": "positive",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": true
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_06",
          "kind": "article",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_07",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        },
        {
          "itemId": "item_08",
          "kind": "document",
          "informationNew": false,
          "expectedImportance": "none",
          "direction": "neutral",
          "isEstimatedContextFalsePositive": false
        }
      ],
      "estimatedContextFalsePositives": {
        "combined": {
          "numerator": 2,
          "denominator": 7
        },
        "liveArticles": {
          "numerator": 2,
          "denominator": 5
        },
        "historicalDocuments": {
          "numerator": 0,
          "denominator": 2
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "modelId": "nemotron3_super_medium_opencode_openrouter_exa_authenticated_v2",
      "informationNewCorrect": false,
      "importanceCorrect": false,
      "directionCorrect": false,
      "targetCorrectCount": 0,
      "allLabelsCorrect": false,
      "targetPrediction": null,
      "contextPredictions": null,
      "estimatedContextFalsePositives": null,
      "status": "invalid_output",
      "usage": {
        "costUsdMicros": 86448,
        "inputTokens": 958534,
        "outputTokens": 7287,
        "totalTokens": 965821,
        "searches": 9
      }
    }
  ]
}
